Pawnshops move upmarket in unprecedented times...

Fine wines are among the items they will accept as collateral for loans, along with family jewels and fine art, a practice spreading from Britain to the US.

Prime Asset Loans, based in Durham, UK, has a specific list of wines it will loan against. In addition to the First Growth Bordeaux, it will also make loans on Burgundy's famed Domaine de la Romanee-Conti and, depending on the vintage, Australia's renowned Penfolds Grange.

"We lend up to 70 percent of the value of the wines and the term is usually seven months," said Richard Mews, a partner at Prime Asset Loans. "Investors are using this type of loan more as it is quick, easy and there are no fees. ... If used properly, it can be a very cheap way of raising short-term funds."

Exporting the concept, the real government agenda?

A British-based pawnbroker, borro.com, with an office in New York recently lent $120,000 in exchange for 128 bottles of Chateau d'Yquem. The golden Sauternes were actually worth an estimated at $250,000. They then listed several other loans that were secured with various vintages of the five First Growths Bordeaux: Chateau Haut-Brion, Chateau Lafite-Rothschild, Chateau Haut-Brion, Chateau Margaux and Chateau Mouton Rothschild. These top wines are regularly sold at auctions where cases fetch tens of thousands of dollars. 

(Worth sending a suitably qualified politician on a states-visit to compound and optimise the special relationship?)

Target users

Borro.com 's clientele, whose net worth ranges from $1 million to $10 million, use the loan "for liquidity - no pun intended. They're mostly small business owners who basically are just waiting on payments and managing cash flows."

Time for NAMs and KAMs to replace the bank by raiding the cellar and sacrificing a bottle or two?

Then why not finish the case via an unprecedented St. Patrick’s Day weekend, from the Namnews team?

Where now for Tesco succession?

Too early to check the hats in the ring, we believe the City will give Clarke a year, following the Brasher development.

Decision time
-  A fast, high-level internal switch would allow Clarke to maintain global momentum. 
-  Going outside for what would need to be a strong, experienced and ‘natural-for-the job’ player would take too long, might simply re-ignite possible internal career-pressures, and could suggest a possible Clarke-replacement option for the City….. 

Marketplace reaction
Meanwhile, competition in the marketplace will be a combination of Tesco defence, with other multiples attempting various degrees of land-grabbing, all now led by very experienced teams focused on optimising this new window at Tesco’s expense.

Supplier action
Suppliers now need to revisit their trade strategies to reflect new competitive appeals in an unprecedented market, and factor in probable moves of the mults. Retailers will not waste time being subtle, so the moves should be pretty obvious.

Then working from 'their' consumer back to the essence of the brand, suppliers should simplify and make the offering very transparent, and echo this in simplified trade strategies, with built-in fair share and compliance conditions, all the way through the supply-chain...

Or sit on the sidelines, have a better view of the race and wait for things to settle down...

Either way, it is going to be tough, very tough for all stakeholders…

Calculating Personal Inflation by ignoring the government basket-case…

Those of you munching pineapples while awaiting tomorrow’s delivery of your iPad3, and freeing up the necessary 50% of waking hours by sacrificing high-level DIY projects via the postponement of the purchase of a new ladder, may find that government measures of inflation will in future provide a more accurate reflection of your version of the rising cost of living.

However, if you are like the remaining 99% of the population, an alternative approach may be necessary…

The monthly inflation figure is essential in gauging how the nation is doing but it’s largely irrelevant and different to individuals.

That’s because the basket of goods the Office of National Statistics measures to monitor prices is a general one.

Simon Read in the Independent offers a simple way to calculate how inflation is hitting your finances:

-       Take a bank statement from a year ago and compare it to today.

-       Look at the things you have to spend on every month – travel costs, energy bills, phone, broadband, food, etc 

-       Add up how much you spent then and how much now

-       Work out the difference as a percentage of last year’s figure

This will give you a rough idea of how much inflation really is ravaging your finances.

Your bank manager will supply the decimal points…

If a customer delays payment... Time for the six honest serving men?

In the current climate, it is probably more a question of ‘when’, rather than ‘if’, but for the moment let us stick with the main question.

Either way, payment delays cost you money and increase your risk-exposure.

Although credit control is someone else’s job, you are the one with total responsibility without authority.

And besides, would you really want a finance colleague trying to get incremental sales from a customer, in order to recover lost profit?

The key issue is ‘why’ the delay?

Essentially, the customer is either in trouble, short of working capital or someone else is shouting louder (a rival supplier offering more Settlement Discount?).

‘Who’ is driving them?

If the ‘who’ happens to be the bank, a quick check of their recent annual report (remember ‘what’ you downloaded from Companies House within minutes of publication four months ago but is still on your ‘must-read' list?) in the Balance Sheet ‘where’ in the outside borrowing section you will find creditors i.e those excluding the guys ‘who’ give them credit free of charge, trade creditors, like you…

This will help you calculate their gearing, and if significantly greater than 30% of Shareholders Funds, it is time to reach for the button…

While checking the Annual Report, the P&L will also reveal the Net Margin for two years, and if less than 2% and heading South, any upward correction is going to be at your expense…

‘How’ it happens?

This will come via ‘deductions’, possibly a delay in payment because of faults/shortages in delivery, with each invoice presenting a new opportunity…

‘How’ you deal with rolling invoice queries can be an opportunity for you to shine in in-house financial circles.

‘What’ to do about it?

How about dividing your annual sales to the customer by twelve, and negotiate with their buyer/finance department that they pay a fixed ‘twelft’ each month by standing-order for eleven months, leaving the final month’s invoice for all the queries?

The end-game..

If the customer is simply reflecting a supplier’s bad invoicing discipline, then the above approach combined with more accuracy on your part, will probably work.

However, if the buyer is simply using excuses, any excuses, to delay payment, this will tell you ‘when’ it is time to give the six honest serving men a rest and ring the lawyers…


P.S. According to Kipling, the 'men' rest from nine-to-five, and never skip meals...  Perhaps 24/7 NAMs/ KAMs need other tools for office-hours?

Retailers hampered by lack of innovation?

If the test of innovation is a consumer’s willingness to pay, then it could be said that retailers have it all their own way. 

Whilst a brand owner can take nine months from initial idea until appropriate shelf-space is secured in a major multiple, for a retailer the source of a new idea can be a presentation by a supplier that morning, a hyper-efficient supply chain can have it on a shelf by noon, and by close of play that same day, the retailer is in a position to delist the brand or double the order…

Exaggerated, but you get the picture…  

Recent press reports suggest that retailers need to be more innovative.

In fact, the two types of innovation, products and channels, present different challenges for retailers in these unprecedented times.

The innovation challenge for retailers: products vs. channels

Product /service Innovation can be so easy for retailers

-       ‘Suppliers taking all upfront risk’

-       ‘Put it on shelf and let the market decide’

How private label can make a difference

In fact, with the right supplier-partners private label can be a means of making exceptional products available exclusively in a retailer’s outlets, with consumers having to return for any repeat purchases, willingly…

Traditionally, suppliers kept the best ideas for the brand and offered second-tier ideas to the retailer. However, one exception was a client I worked with many years ago, a leading yogurt brand. They took a more innovative approach to brand development: when the ‘Lab’ had produced six new flavours, the company would first offer all six to their own-label customer. Then, following  a month’s sales in Tesco/JS, the relative popularity of each flavour allowed the company to select the best three flavours for inclusion in the brand extension programme….(Tesco/JS were ok with this, given their innovator’s advantage and their different agendas)   

Different when innovating channels or changing channel emphasis

Retailing can be a zero-sum game, in that in general a retailer’s routes-to-consumer can be sub-sets of a fixed demand. In other words, the success of a ‘new’ channel can be at a cost to their main channel in terms of sales, for instance where online siphons off sales of many non-food categories from a superstore…    

Large outlet 'redundancy'

Although pop-up shops can make some outlet diversification easy, re-engineering a 100,000 sq. ft. outlet can take a little more effort…

Large outlet ‘redundancy’ was a natural consequence of increased shopper insight combined with improvement in supply-chain efficiencies, in that two facings and minimal stock levels can now do the work of ten facings and a week’s back-up stock.

Rescuing a superstore 

In fact, for the major multiples, the next moves are crucial, in that £50m investments in superstores cannot easily be reversed, without massive dilution of ROCE, and sell-off is not an alternative, in that a superstore’s traditional retail hyper-efficiency means that any alternative use of the building cannot match a superstore’s  financials…i.e. no one can afford to pay what the retailer needs...

Restoring its viability 

A more practical solution might be a combination of store-level assortment, extending the range of goods/services to include anything that can be legally sold to the public, and sub-letting some space to shop-within-a-shop specialist retailers.

How to attract, select and retain the right specialists?

Charge a minimal rent, and a percentage of sales, collaborate on purchasing, share insights on retail productivity, and earn some good press in the process…

This has to be an opportunity for suppliers willing to help a retailer to really innovate…

Seemple, right?    (i.e. seems simple....)

Innovation in retail multichannel management, an opportunity via the new Post Office?

In retail, increasingly innovation will be linked to the development of multichannel retailing, particularly as sales migrate to new channels, the role of multichannel director is emerging as the most likely route to becoming chief executive of a major retailer. 
Suppliers need to mirror the role-moves.

Need for innovation focus
Korn/Ferry Whitehead Mann have found that, despite profound change in the retailing sector, many were prioritising existing goods and services, rather than reinventing themselves with breakthrough ideas. 

This week’s guest-Kamblogger, Gary Coyle, a thought leader in the Postal sector, updates NAMs on upcoming consumer-access opportunities via the Post Office network.

Post Office rebirth
The UK Post Office network is in decline – 5,000 Post Offices have closed over the last 6 years with 8 million fewer weekly customer visits.  The Government have promised funding of £1.34bn over the next four years to help modernise and re-energise the retail network.

In fact, as the largest retail network in the UK, the Post Office now needs to innovate, take some calculated risks and be radical in its approach to adopting a new business model in order to optimise ever challenging consumer demands.

See Gary’s free white paper: Post Offices – Time for a Digital Reinvention as a Unique Route to Consumer? 

A Brief Encounter with priorities in a London hotel…

Arriving in London too early for an appointment in the West End yesterday, I decided to kill an hour by slipping into the lobby of a prestigious Mayfair hotel for a £10 latte and to informally check out how the global financial crisis was impacting other layers of society….

Flipping open my laptop to develop an idea for KamBlog, I was interrupted by a concierge who discretely whispered that working on laptops was not permitted in the lobby, ‘…causing possible offence to other guests busy negotiating multimillion pound arms deals at nearby tables etc, etc’

This gave me time to take in more of my surroundings…especially the higher than normal temperature, causing me to remove my jacket and drape it elegantly over a nearby chair.
Again I was approached by the concierge to let me know that gentlemen were not permitted to remove jackets in the lobby…

As I slipped back into my jacket, I reached for my mobile to check a real-world news update, when the concierge approached yet again.

This time I interrupted him, and summoning up my best version of a Dublin 4 accent, asked him to please speak up, as I was having difficulty hearing him over the sound of the wh*res’ high-heels as they click-clacked across the tiled floor on their way to client meetings upstairs….

As I left the hotel I began to mull over the issue of priorities in these unprecedented times…

Better than sell-by dates - Edible RFID tags to monitor your food?

Andrew Sullivan’s blog pointed us at the idea of edible RFIDs. Pasted onto eggs, stamped onto fruit or floating in milk, they can warn you when your fruit is ripe, or when your milk has gone sour.

Scientists at Tufts University have now engineered silk into fully chewable food sensors.

The flexible sensors are made of gold antennae embedded in a purified silk film support. The gold bits are as thin as gold leaf found on some extra-fancy desserts, and can pick up the chemical changes of decomposition or ripening. The silk substrate--made of pure protein--is easily digestible. The whole sensor is flexible, and can curve according to the shape of the fruit.

The working principles behind the sensors are based on existing RFID technology--the difference here is that the sensors aren’t hard electronics, they’re flexible, edible stickers.

Applications

Apart from being able to track, monitor and accept/reject individual items throughout the supply-chain, the edibility factor means there is no risk to either health or the freshness-image of the store. Cross-contamination of other food will be eliminated, thus removing one part of the shrinkage issue for retailers, leaving more time to concentrate on reducing the numbers of shoppers who regard food stores as personal larders, a source of free food… 

Creativitywise, the real advantages of edible/flexible RFIDs have to be potential applications in other categories.

Ideas, anyone? 

NB. For starters, how about this Healthcare application?

Last year the team collaborated in publishing a paper in Science magazine showing how flexible electronics in the form of an "electronic skin" could stick to the skin and wirelessly track vital health signs.....now was it worth reading?